Manila Bulletin
OCTA: PH’s daily COVID-19 cases may drop to 5K by end-October
The OCTA Research Group predicts a decrease in daily Covid-19 cases to 5,000-6,000 by the end of October, despite a potential temporary surge to 10,000 cases this week due to backlogs.
OCTA fellow Guido David stated that the nationwide reproduction number is 0.64 and the seven-day average of cases is currently at 8,400.
He acknowledged that some areas are still experiencing a surge or initial increase in cases.
Hospital utilization in the National Capital Region (NCR) has decreased to 47%, though intensive care unit utilization remains high at 59%.
The NCR's seven-day average of Covid-19 cases is 1,681, with a positivity rate of 10%, which is considered moderate but still above the target of 5%.
The average daily attack rate (ADAR) in the NCR is 11.87 cases per 100,000 population.
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The OCTA Research group reported that the COVID-19 reproduction rate in the National Capital Region (NCR) has decreased to 0.47, and the nationwide rate to 0.55, indicating a slowdown in virus transmission.
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The Philippines' seven-day average of new COVID-19 cases has fallen below 10,000 for the first time since early August, with the average now at 9,648 cases.
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Metro Manila's weekly average COVID-19 cases have dropped to 1,933 as of October 11, the lowest since July 31-August 6, prior to the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ).
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The COVID-19 reproduction number in the National Capital Region (NCR) has dropped to 0.52, a new low since May, according to OCTA Research.
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The Philippines registered 3,656 new COVID-19 cases on October 20, 2021, the lowest daily infections recorded since July 13.
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