Manila Bulletin
OCTA: PH’s COVID-19 cases seen to return to pre-Delta surge level
The OCTA Research group reported that the COVID-19 reproduction rate in the National Capital Region (NCR) has decreased to 0.47, and the nationwide rate to 0.55, indicating a slowdown in virus transmission.
This continued decrease in reproduction numbers suggests that COVID-19 cases in the Philippines are expected to fall back to pre-Delta surge levels by the end of October.
The current nationwide seven-day average of COVID-19 cases is 6,416, with 1,156 in the NCR, marking the lowest nationwide average since July.
OCTA fellow Dr. Guido David projected that the country could see fewer than 5,000 new cases (7-day average) by the end of October, with less than 1,000 in the NCR.
This projection aligns with the Department of Health's report of 3,656 new COVID-19 cases on Wednesday, the lowest daily count since July 13.
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The OCTA Research Group predicts a decrease in daily Covid-19 cases to 5,000-6,000 by the end of October, despite a potential temporary surge to 10,000 cases this week due to backlogs.
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The Philippines is now classified as low-risk for COVID-19 due to declining infections, according to the Department of Health (DOH).
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The COVID-19 reproduction number in the National Capital Region (NCR) has dropped to 0.52, a new low since May, according to OCTA Research.
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The Philippines registered 3,656 new COVID-19 cases on October 20, 2021, the lowest daily infections recorded since July 13.
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The COVID-19 reproduction number in the National Capital Region (NCR) slightly increased to 0.48, though this remains below 1, indicating a continued slowdown in transmission.
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