Manila Bulletin
OCTA cites 'very fast' decrease in COVID infections in Metro Manila; less than 1,000 daily cases possible by end-October
Metro Manila's weekly average COVID-19 cases have dropped to 1,933 as of October 11, the lowest since July 31-August 6, prior to the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ).
The reproduction number in the region decreased to 0.61, and the positivity rate fell to 12 percent.
OCTA Research forecasts that Metro Manila could see fewer than 1,000 daily COVID-19 cases by the end of October due to the rapid decline in infections.
Dr. Guido David of OCTA Research cited the high vaccination rate as a key factor in the "very fast" decrease in cases, contrasting it with the slower decline during the March-April surge when vaccination levels were lower.
He noted that before the Delta surge and following the Alpha and Beta variant surge, Metro Manila's daily cases had fallen to about 600.
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The Philippines' seven-day average of new COVID-19 cases has fallen below 10,000 for the first time since early August, with the average now at 9,648 cases.
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The COVID-19 reproduction number in the National Capital Region (NCR) has dropped to 0.61 for the week of October 2 to 8, indicating a slowdown in virus transmission, according to OCTA Research.
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The OCTA Research Group predicts a decrease in daily Covid-19 cases to 5,000-6,000 by the end of October, despite a potential temporary surge to 10,000 cases this week due to backlogs.
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The Department of Health (DOH) reported 11,010 new COVID-19 cases on Saturday, October 9, bringing the total infections nationwide to 2,654,450.
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According to OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David, the country is close to winning the battle against the Delta variant of COVID-19.
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