The reproduction number of COVID-19 in the NCR Plus bubble has decreased, with OCTA Research noting a 19% increase in average daily cases from March 25 to April 1, a significant drop from the 60% growth rate prior to the Enhanced Community Quarantine (ECQ).
This decline is attributed to the ECQ, which had a greater effect in reducing the reproduction number compared to a General Community Quarantine (GCQ).
Experts caution that the reduced growth rate might be partly due to a 12% decrease in daily testing during the ECQ period.
The NCR Plus bubble, comprising Metro Manila, Bulacan, Cavite, Laguna, and Rizal, was placed under ECQ until April 4 to curb the surge in COVID-19 cases.
OCTA Research indicated that the COVID-19 infection growth rate in NCR Plus declined to 40 percent or less, confirming the effectiveness of the ECQ in slowing the pandemic's growth.
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