The Department of Health (DOH) announced the reimposition of Enhanced Community Quarantine (ECQ) in Metro Manila and surrounding provinces to prevent active COVID-19 cases from reaching 430,000 by the end of April.
According to DOH Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire, projections from the FASSSTER modeling tool indicated a likely exponential increase in cases without stricter lockdown measures.
These projections warned of potentially 430,000 national cases and 350,000 cases in the National Capital Region (NCR) alone by April 30 if immediate, harder measures were not implemented.
Vergeire highlighted that the NCR, Bulacan, Cavite, Rizal, and Laguna are already categorized as high to critical risk due to their COVID-19 two-week growth rate and average daily attack rate.
The country's healthcare system is currently under immense strain, with utilization rates at 63% in Metro Manila and 58% in Calabarzon.
The primary goal of the stricter ECQ is to make the healthcare system's capacity more manageable.
The ECQ for the affected areas, forming the 'bubble', is set to be in effect from March 29 to April 4.
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