UP experts project 40k COVID-19 cases by June 30

Experts from the University of the Philippines (UP) project that the Philippines could reach 40,000 COVID-19 cases by June 30 if the current reproduction number of 1.2 persists.

The reproduction number (R) of 1.2 indicates that the pandemic is still spreading, with one positive case potentially infecting 1.2 other people.

UP experts also project that COVID-19 deaths could reach 1,850 by the same date, based on current trends.

As of June 11, 2020, the Philippines has recorded 24,175 COVID-19 cases, with 443 new cases reported.

The DOH reported 9 new deaths, bringing the total death toll to 1,036, and 270 recoveries, for a total of 5,165.

Institute of Mathematics Assistant Professor Guido David stated the projection is based on the current trend of transmission.

Professor Ranjit Singh Rye advised the Department of Health to monitor the situation and respond in Cebu, where virus transmission is evident.

Rye also highlighted the community's responsibility in preventing the spread of COVID-19 through observing health measures.

He urged against the further easing of quarantine restrictions across the country, emphasizing that government decisions should be based on evidence.