Experts from the University of the Philippines predict that Metro Manila could see between 16,500 and 20,500 COVID-19 cases by June 30.
The projection is based on the current reproduction number in the region, which is between 0.96 and 1.2.
A reproduction number below 1 indicates a slowing spread of the virus.
In a scenario with a reproduction number of 0.96, the projected cases are 16,500 with 1,070 deaths.
If the reproduction number reaches 1.2, cases could climb to 20,500 with 1,200 deaths by the end of June.
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