ABS-CBN
OCTA expects downward trend in coronavirus cases as NCR Plus under MECQ
An OCTA Research expert anticipates a decline in COVID-19 cases in the National Capital Region (NCR) due to the ongoing Modified Enhanced Community Quarantine (MECQ).
Dr. Guido David expects this downward trend to become noticeable within one to two weeks.
He projects that the average daily cases nationally could decrease from 10,000 to approximately 7,000 by the end of April.
Currently, the reproduction number for COVID-19 cases stands at 1.24, a decrease from 1.88, with a figure below 1 indicating a downward trend.
The NCR and surrounding provinces of Bulacan, Cavite, Laguna, and Rizal were placed under MECQ from April 12 to April 30 to address the surge in infections.
The group also observed negative growth rates in the cities of Pasay, Mandaluyong, and Marikina.
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The reproduction number of COVID-19 in the National Capital Region (NCR) has decreased to 1.16, according to OCTA Research.
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The OCTA Research Group stated that the Enhanced Community Quarantine (ECQ) in the National Capital Region (NCR) Plus bubble was "effective."
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OCTA Research is recommending an additional week of Enhanced Community Quarantine (ECQ) in the NCR Plus bubble to continue curbing the rising COVID-19 cases.
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Malacañang has acknowledged and praised the recent modest decline in COVID-19 cases in certain areas of Metro Manila, deeming it a significant development in the nation's fight against the virus.
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The "NCR Plus" bubble, comprising Metro Manila, Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, and Cavite, has been moved to a modified enhanced community quarantine (MECQ) effective April 12 until April 30.
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