OCTA projects Metro Manila COVID-19 cases below 200 by end-November

Independent research group OCTA projects that Metro Manila could see fewer than 200 average daily COVID-19 cases by the end of November.

On November 8, Metro Manila recorded 388 new COVID-19 cases, marking a seven-day average of 385, the lowest since February 13, 2021.

The COVID-19 reproduction number in the region has further decreased to 0.38.

OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David noted that nearly all COVID-19 indicators in Metro Manila are better now compared to the same period last year.

Specifically, the average daily attack rate has dropped from 3.63 to 2.86 cases per 100,000, and the positivity rate has fallen from 6% to 4%.

Active COVID-19 cases have also decreased from 10,722 last year to 6,484 this year.

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