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COVID-19 daily cases may peak in mid-January at earliest, in 20K–40K range —UP expert
COVID-19 cases in the Philippines could reach as high as 40,000 by mid-January if significant interventions are not implemented.
Professor Jomar Rabajante of the UP Pandemic Response Team stated that projections indicate a potential peak between January 15 and the third week of February, with daily cases ranging from 20,000 to 40,000.
The recent surge in infections is believed to be linked to increased public mobility during the holiday season.
Rabajante emphasized that the timing and severity of the peak depend heavily on public adherence to health protocols, even under Alert Level 3.
He warned that failure to follow safety measures and continued high mobility could accelerate the transmission of the Omicron variant and lead to an earlier peak.
Conversely, maintaining minimum public health standards and effective alert level systems could potentially delay the projected peak in cases.
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The Department of Health (DOH) projects that the Philippines could reach the peak of its COVID-19 cases by the end of January, with the Omicron variant believed to be the main driver of the current surge.
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The National Capital Region's COVID-19 positivity rate has surged to 14%, with OCTA Research predicting over 2,000 new cases in NCR and more than 2,500 nationwide on New Year's Eve.
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Department of Health (DOH) Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire noted an anticipated rise in COVID-19 cases due to holiday-related mobility and decreased compliance with public health standards.
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Health experts suggest that the rapid rise in COVID-19 infections across the country could be attributed to the highly transmissible Omicron variant.
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The Philippines logged 5,434 new COVID-19 cases on Tuesday, January 4, 2022, the highest since October 29, bringing the country's cumulative number of infections to 2,861,119.
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