Manila Bulletin
Metro Manila decrease in new COVID cases likely by 1st or 2nd week of September -- OCTA Research
Independent research group OCTA reported a slowdown in the surge of COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila, with daily averages from Aug. 15 to 21 showing a 24 percent increase from the previous week.
The reproduction number in Metro Manila has decreased to 1.64 from 1.90, indicating a decline in the growth rate of new cases.
Despite the slowdown, OCTA projects that Metro Manila may begin to see a decreasing number of cases by the first or second week of September if current trends continue.
OCTA fellow Dr. Guido David noted that the peak of cases may occur around the following week, with an average of 3,965 cases per day in NCR, which is a 13 percent increase.
David attributed the decline in growth rate and reproduction number to the recent two-week enhanced community quarantine, but warned that sustained efforts are still necessary for the next four weeks.
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