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DOH: 6-week MECQ, improved response seen to lower active cases in NCR by end-September
The DOH projects active COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila could reach 66,403 by August 31 and 269,694 by September 30 under a scenario of a 2-week ECQ followed by 4-week MECQ with current vaccination, isolation, and compliance levels.
Under a 6-week MECQ with an improved response, active cases could be lower, with projections showing 83,921 by August 31 and 152,776 by September 30.
As of August 20, Metro Manila had 35,420 active COVID-19 cases.
Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire noted that cases are expected to rise in the coming days, emphasizing the need for continued preparedness.
On August 20, the Philippines recorded a new all-time high of 17,231 new COVID-19 infections nationwide.
The DOH stressed that these projections are not set in stone and depend on factors like vaccination rates and prompt isolation.
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Independent research group OCTA reported a slowdown in the surge of COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila, with daily averages from Aug. 15 to 21 showing a 24 percent increase from the previous week.
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Metro Manila, Bataan, Bulacan, Cavite, Laguna, and Rizal will remain under modified enhanced community quarantine (MECQ) until September 7.
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The National Capital Region (NCR), Laguna, and Bataan have been downgraded from Enhanced Community Quarantine (ECQ) to Modified Enhanced Community Quarantine (MECQ).
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The Department of Health (DOH) anticipates new peaks in COVID-19 cases in the Philippines over the next few weeks.
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Dr. Ted Herbosa, a government adviser, is advocating for Metro Manila to be placed under Modified Enhanced Community Quarantine (MECQ) after August 20.
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