The National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) estimates that a prolonged coronavirus outbreak could reduce the Philippine economy by as much as 0.7% of the gross domestic product (GDP) if it lasts until December.
Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto Pernia stated that the economic impact could reach 0.3% if the outbreak continues until June.
These preliminary estimates consider a scenario where inbound Chinese tourists are cut by 100% and other foreign tourists are reduced by 10%.
If the outbreak is contained within one month, the impact on GDP is projected to be 0.06%.
The tourism sector is expected to be the most affected by the outbreak.
Tourist arrivals from China constituted 22.9% of the total tourist arrivals in the Philippines from January to November last year.
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