Despite localized lockdowns, Metro Manila's daily COVID-19 cases are predicted to rise, with an expert calling the surge "very concerning."
The National Capital Region (NCR) has seen its reproduction number increase to 1.4, and daily cases have reached around 900, a level not seen since October last year.
If cases continue to increase, projections indicate the NCR could see 2,500 or more cases daily, comparable to levels observed in August.
A positivity rate of 5% has been recorded in the NCR over the past seven days.
Pasay City experienced a significant 160% surge in new COVID-19 cases between February 16 and 22, with Malabon, Manila, Makati, Taguig, Parañaque, and Marikina also showing notable increases.
Mandaluyong City performed best, with a low positivity rate of 2% and a daily attack rate of 2.44 per 100,000 population.
President Duterte has maintained the general community quarantine (GCQ) status for Metro Manila throughout March.
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