An economist advises the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to increase its benchmark interest rate in the second quarter to combat rising inflation, driven by soaring global oil prices due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
CLSA Senior Economist Anthony Nafte predicts Philippine inflation could spike to between 5.5% and 6% in the coming months, more than double the current rate of 3%.
He anticipates a 25-basis-point rate hike before mid-2022, followed by another 50-basis-point increase in the latter half of the year.
Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III stated that the Philippine economy might suffer 'collateral damage' from the Russia-Ukraine crisis, leading to price increases across various sectors.
BSP Governor Benjamin E. Diokno acknowledged that the conflict and its impact on international oil prices could cause inflation to exceed the central bank's 2% to 4% target this year.
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