The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is closely monitoring inflation risks stemming from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which has led to increased global crude oil prices.
BSP Governor Benjamin Diokno stated that the central bank is constantly updating inflation nowcasts to pinpoint risks to growth and emerging second-round price pressures that will derail inflation expectations.
The BSP remains vigilant against possible second-round effects from supply-side pressures or any shifts in inflationary expectations.
He reiterated the central bank's continued support of the government's non-monetary interventions to help mitigate the impact of higher oil prices and avoid the broadening of price pressures.
Market observers expect the BSP to start raising policy rates by the second quarter this year, with a consensus of at least a 25 basis points (bps) hike this year and a bigger 50 bps rate hike in 2023.
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