DOH projects fewer COVID-19 cases if NCR stays in Alert Level 4

The Department of Health (DOH) projects that active COVID-19 cases in the National Capital Region (NCR) could drop significantly by the end of October if the region remains under Alert Level 4.

Under Alert Level 4 with a rapid detection-to-isolation time of four days, daily cases may decrease to 1,731.

If Alert Level 3 is implemented, the DOH projects daily cases to be between 3,211 and 3,605.

In a scenario with a longer detection-to-isolation period of six days, daily cases are projected to be 2,195 under Alert Level 4, and 4,061 to 4,557 under Alert Level 3.

Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire emphasized the importance of reducing the time between detection and isolation, rather than solely relying on mobility restrictions.

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