Survey predictions miss senatorial race outcomes

The results of the senatorial race in this year's midterm elections showed that survey predictions did not always align with actual outcomes.

Former Senator Bam Aquino and reelectionist Francis Pangilinan both surprised pollsters by ranking higher than expected, despite rarely appearing in surveys conducted by Social Weather Stations, Pulse Asia, and OCTA Research.

Experts suggest that voter indecision until the day of the election could account for these discrepancies; around 20% of voters decide on Election Day or the week before.

Candidates like broadcaster Ben Tulfo, Senator Bong Revilla, and Makati City Mayor Abby Binay, who were at the top in early surveys, did not make it to the winning circle.

Survey firms noted that late endorsements and support from influential groups such as the Iglesia Ni Cristo (INC) and Vice President Sara Duterte significantly impacted election results.