UP experts recommend ECQ extension for Metro Manila, other areas

Experts from the University of the Philippines (UP) recommend extending the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ) beyond May 15, 2020, for Metro Manila, Batangas, Cebu, Zamboanga del Sur, and Davao City.

Their study indicates that a premature lifting of the ECQ in Metro Manila could lead to a surge in cases, potentially reaching 24,000 by June 15, 2020, and approximately 1,700 deaths.

Presidential spokesperson Harry Roque previously stated that the government's data analysis team acknowledged the UP professors' concerns regarding a potential spike in cases and deaths if the ECQ is lifted prematurely.

However, Roque had also clarified that not all of Metro Manila would necessarily remain under ECQ, with some cities possibly being downgraded to a general community quarantine (GCQ).

The UP experts emphasized that ECQ extension is crucial for sustaining current gains until the government effectively scales up mass testing, contact tracing, and isolation initiatives.

A final decision on the ECQ status of these areas rests with the Inter-Agency Task Force on Emerging Infectious Diseases (IATF) and President Rodrigo Duterte.

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