UP experts project 60k COVID-19 cases by July 31

Experts from the University of the Philippines estimate that the Philippines could have at least 60,000 coronavirus cases by July 31, with projections suggesting cases could range from over 60,000 to more than 70,000 by the end of July.

The projected death toll by July 31 is estimated to be around 1,300.

Cases in Metro Manila and nearby cities could hit 30,000 with 860 deaths.

Infections in Cebu City could reach 15,000 if a strict lockdown continues, but could surge to as many as 30,000 otherwise.

The country's virus reproduction rate is 1.28, indicating continued spread of the virus.

The UP researchers emphasize that the projected increase in cases and deaths can be prevented by rapidly identifying and breaking the chains of viral transmission, requiring clear targets such as keeping positivity rates low and active cases trending down.