Inquirer
Weak La Niña seen to bring above-normal rains in Dec. 2025 – Feb. 2026
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) announced the development of a "short-lived" La Niña phenomenon in the tropical Pacific, which is expected to persist until the first quarter of 2026.
Recent oceanic and atmospheric conditions indicate the decrease in sea surface temperatures in the central and equatorial Pacific since September 2025, reaching a weak La Niña threshold.
Climate models suggest that this La Niña event is likely to continue at least through the December 2025 to February 2026 season.
La Niña typically brings above-normal rainfall conditions to most parts of the Philippines during the last quarter of the year and the early months of the following year.
Consequently, the country can anticipate a higher chance of above-normal rainfall from December 2025 to February 2026, potentially leading to floods, flashfloods, and rain-induced landslides.
An increased likelihood of tropical cyclone activity within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) is also expected during this period.
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