OCTA: Metro Manila may hit 2,000 daily COVID-19 cases

Metro Manila may record about 2,000 new COVID-19 cases daily, according to OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David.

This projection is concerning due to the potential strain on the region's contact tracing and testing capacities.

The region averaged 1,279 cases per day from July 25-31, a 40 percent increase from the previous week, with the highest single-day count of 1,740 cases reported on July 31.

The reproduction number in the NCR has risen to 1.52, indicating sustained virus transmission, and the group suggests possible community transmission of the Delta variant.

Hospital bed occupancy increased from 38% to 45%, and ICU utilization rose from 45% to 52%.

At the current rate, hospital beds could reach 70% occupancy in less than five weeks, while ICU beds could reach 70% in less than three weeks if quarantine restrictions remain unchanged.

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