Dr. Guido David of OCTA Research stated that Metro Manila might have already passed the peak of its current COVID-19 surge, noting consistently negative one-week growth rates.
The reproduction number in Metro Manila has decreased to 1.14, with a seven-day average of 5,136 cases between September 13 and 19, a 13 percent decrease from the previous week.
Despite the declining trend, OCTA cautioned that the surge remains at a "very high" level, with a critical incidence rate of 36.77 per 100,000 per day.
The seven-day positivity rate in Metro Manila has also decreased to 23 percent from 25 percent.
David urged the public to sustain their efforts in following health protocols to ensure the positive gains are not lost and that the decrease in cases is sustained before declaring a definitive peak.
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