Manila Bulletin
Metro Manila hospitals to reach full capacity by April if gov’t fails to act on COVID-19 surge -- OCTA
Hospitals in the National Capital Region may reach full capacity by the first week of April if COVID-19 cases continue to surge and the reproduction number remains high, according to OCTA Research.
The COVID-19 reproduction number in NCR is currently at 1.95, meaning one infected person can spread the virus to nearly two others.
OCTA Research projects that if the reproduction number can be reduced to 1.5, the projected full hospital capacity could be delayed by one to two weeks.
The group warned that without drastic and immediate actions from the government and local government units, the country's healthcare system and frontliners risk being overwhelmed within weeks.
The projections are considered conservative as they do not account for the potential impact of the more transmissible UK and South African COVID-19 variants.
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