Rappler
Octa Research: COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila climbing faster than expected
Octa Research warned that the National Capital Region (NCR) could experience up to 3,000 new COVID-19 cases per day by March 31 if current trends continue, with actual cases now exceeding projections.
The reproduction number (R) in Metro Manila has risen to 1.8, and the positivity rate hit 9.16% on March 3, the highest since September 18, 2020.
COVID-19 is spreading fast in Pasay City, where cases of the more infectious South African variant were first detected in the Philippines.
For four consecutive days until March 8, the Philippines logged over 3,000 cases.
The Philippines breached the 600,000-mark in COVID-19 cases, with 2,668 new infections reported on March 8.
Dr. Guido David of Octa Research stated that Metro Manila could see a repeat of the infection surge observed in December if restrictions are further relaxed.
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Thirteen cities in Metro Manila are among the top areas experiencing a significant upward trend in COVID-19 cases, according to OCTA Research.
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OCTA Research projects that daily COVID-19 cases in the Philippines could reach 11,000 by the end of March.
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Metro Manila is now averaging over 900 new COVID-19 cases daily, an increase of 50 percent from the previous week and 119 percent from two weeks ago, according to OCTA Research.
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The OCTA Research group reported that COVID-19 cases in the National Capital Region are rising rapidly, with daily average cases now at 1,025, a 42% increase from the previous week and a 130% increase compared to two weeks prior.
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OCTA Research warned that the Philippines could reach 665,000 COVID-19 cases and 14,000 deaths by the end of March if current trends continue.
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