DOH warns of 500K COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila if public gets complacent

The Department of Health (DOH) warned that a surge in COVID-19 cases, potentially reaching 500,000 active cases in Metro Manila by mid-May, could occur if Filipinos become complacent with minimum public health standards.

Experts from the DOH noted that the country experienced a low number of cases from March to April because the public was adhering to health standards during that period.

Increased transmission of the virus is a concern as millions of Filipinos travel for Holy Week and upcoming vacations, with the presidential elections on May 9 also contributing to potential gatherings.

A projected 20% decrease in adherence to health protocols could result in 34,788 active cases, while a 30% decrease could lead to 300,000 active cases, surpassing the Omicron variant peak.

In Metro Manila, adherence to health rules has already decreased by 12%, and a further 50% decrease in compliance could lead to the alarming projection of 500,000 active cases by mid-May.